{"id":4419,"date":"2019-02-09T15:12:41","date_gmt":"2019-02-09T15:12:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/2019\/02\/09\/forget-privacy-youre-terrible-at-targeting-anyway-apenwarr\/"},"modified":"2019-02-09T15:12:41","modified_gmt":"2019-02-09T15:12:41","slug":"forget-privacy-youre-terrible-at-targeting-anyway-apenwarr","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/2019\/02\/09\/forget-privacy-youre-terrible-at-targeting-anyway-apenwarr\/","title":{"rendered":"Forget privacy: you&#8217;re terrible at targeting anyway &#8211; apenwarr"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On the marginal value gain by destroying your privacy. The whole thing is well worth a read.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">I don&#8217;t mind letting your programs see my private data as long as I get something useful in exchange. But that&#8217;s not what happens.<\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">A former co-worker told me once: &#8220;Everyone loves collecting data, but nobody loves analyzing it later.&#8221; This claim is almost shocking, but people who have been involved in data collection and analysis have all seen it. It starts with a brilliant idea: we&#8217;ll collect information about every click someone makes on every page in our app! And we&#8217;ll track how long they hesitate over a particular choice! And how often they use the back button! How many seconds they watch our intro video before they abort! How many times they reshare our social media post!<\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">And then they do track all that. Tracking it all is easy. Add some log events, dump them into a database, off we go.<\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">But then what? Well, after that, we have to analyze it. And as someone who has<span> <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apenwarr.ca\/log\/20160328\">analyzed<\/a><span> <\/span>a<span> <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apenwarr.ca\/log\/20171213\">lot<\/a><span> <\/span>of<span> <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apenwarr.ca\/log\/20180918\">data<\/a><span> <\/span>about various things, let me tell you: being a data analyst is difficult and mostly unrewarding (except financially).<\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">See, the problem is there&#8217;s almost no way to know if you&#8217;re right. (It&#8217;s also not clear what the definition of &#8220;right&#8221; is, which I&#8217;ll get to in a bit.) There are almost never any easy conclusions, just hard ones, and the hard ones are error prone. What analysts don&#8217;t talk about is how many incorrect charts (and therefore conclusions) get made on the way to making correct ones. Or ones we think are correct. A good chart is so incredibly persuasive that it almost doesn&#8217;t even matter if it&#8217;s right, as long as what you want is to persuade someone&#8230; which is probably why newpapers, magazines, and lobbyists publish so many misleading charts.<\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">But let&#8217;s leave errors aside for the moment. Let&#8217;s assume, very unrealistically, that we as a profession are good at analyzing things. What then?<\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">Well, then, let&#8217;s get rich on targeted ads and personalized recommendation algorithms. It&#8217;s what everyone else does!<\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height:26px; font-family:et-book,Palatino,\" palatinolinotype\",\"palatinoltstd\",\"bookantiqua\",georgia,serif; color:rgb(34,34,34); font-size:13pt; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-variant-caps:normal; font-weight:400; letter-spacing:normal; orphans:2text-indent:0px; text-transform:none; white-space:normal; widows:2; word-spacing:0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:0px; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial; text-align:left;\">Or do they?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apenwarr.ca\/log\/20190201\">https:\/\/apenwarr.ca\/log\/20190201<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On the marginal value gain by destroying your privacy. The whole thing is well worth a read. I don&#8217;t mind letting your programs see my private data as long as I get something useful in exchange. But that&#8217;s not what happens. A former co-worker told me once: &#8220;Everyone loves collecting data, but nobody loves analyzing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p3pfIY-19h","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4419"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4419\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.novonon.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}